As bulbs get older the lumen output drops. Just because the ends darken, is no reason to change them. In the simplest of terms, there is an electrode at either end of the bulb. When you turn them on, an arc jumps between the two electrodes and the gas in the lamp glows. That's why they get dark at the ends. They may still have half of their rated life left. If you change them, do it because the lumen output has dropped off or because they don't work anymore. Less for the landfill.